Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.006972 0.007838 0.008784 0.009896 0.011173 0.012594 0.014302
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.005495 0.006644 0.008007 0.009755 0.011952 0.014640 0.018207
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004753 0.006026 0.007622 0.009791 0.012692 0.016482 0.021881
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004141 0.005449 0.007160 0.009595 0.013019 0.017739 0.024868
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003805 0.005173 0.007033 0.009790 0.013848 0.019722 0.029093
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003471 0.004853 0.006794 0.009775 0.014343 0.021248 0.032815
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003082 0.004409 0.006325 0.009359 0.014165 0.021707 0.034886
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002847 0.004166 0.006121 0.009308 0.014530 0.023031 0.038534
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002762 0.004135 0.006228 0.009747 0.015716 0.025824 0.045117
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002513 0.003830 0.005879 0.009406 0.015557 0.026295 0.047547
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002315 0.003589 0.005611 0.009171 0.015544 0.027009 0.050520
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002189 0.003451 0.005497 0.009183 0.015965 0.028550 0.055334
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002129 0.003423 0.005570 0.009547 0.017095 0.031624 0.063937
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001985 0.003244 0.005373 0.009405 0.017265 0.032864 0.068886
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001884 0.003130 0.005278 0.009439 0.017774 0.034847 0.075839
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001760 0.002964 0.005077 0.009251 0.017811 0.035836 0.080634
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001700 0.002910 0.005071 0.009438 0.018637 0.038634 0.090351
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001618 0.002808 0.004969 0.009424 0.019034 0.040526 0.098151
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001494 0.002619 0.004691 0.009025 0.018548 0.040326 0.100391
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001423 0.002525 0.004586 0.008976 0.018836 0.041987 0.108050
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001411 0.002544 0.004700 0.009397 0.020239 0.046559 0.124981
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001317 0.002397 0.004476 0.009070 0.019860 0.046609 0.128542
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001241 0.002280 0.004305 0.008844 0.019698 0.047200 0.133910